This framework applies the same method across all cases.
Consistency matters more than precision.
Comparability matters more than completeness.
Unit of Analysis
The primary unit of analysis is the society, defined as:
- A population under shared governance
- With enforceable rules
- And collective institutions
Sub-units (cities, regions, empires) are examined where structure diverges materially.
Analytical Dimensions
Each case is examined across five fixed dimensions:
1. Order
- Enforcement consistency
- Norm adherence
- Predictability
2. Compassion
- Scope of aid
- Conditionality
- Duration
3. Sequence
- Whether compassion expands before or after order
- Timing of correction
4. Reciprocity
- Linkage between benefits and obligation
- Participation rates
- Perceived fairness
5. Feedback
- Signal detection
- Response speed
- Willingness to adjust
No dimension is omitted.
Evidence Standard
This framework relies on:
- Observable outcomes
- Institutional behaviour
- Structural incentives
It does not rely on:
- Stated intent
- Moral justification
- Political narrative
When outcomes diverge from intent, outcomes govern analysis.
Temporal Analysis
Time is central.
The framework distinguishes between:
- Early-stage strain
- Mid-stage drift
- Late-stage failure
- Post-failure correction
Delayed consequences are treated as causally relevant, not incidental.
Comparative Method
Cases are compared horizontally, not hierarchically.
No ranking is produced.
No score is assigned.
Patterns are identified through recurrence, not aggregation.
Neutrality Constraint
The framework enforces analytical restraint.
It does not:
- Attribute blame
- Prescribe policy
- Advocate ideology
Its role is to describe dependency and consequence.
Interpretation is left to the reader.